[Money-matters] FW: [Money Matters Newsletter] Money Matters Financial Newsletter Update Free February 13, 2014
Marc Cuniberti
bayareaprocess at att.net
Thu Feb 13 20:39:05 UTC 2014
"
Subject: [Money Matters Newsletter] Money Matters Financial Newsletter
Update Free February 13, 2014
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Money Matters Financial Newsletter Update Free February 13, 2014
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Welcome New Money Matters Update members and thanks for supporting KVMR FM
and Money Matters. You will now receive this email in your inbox from time
to time as I write about the economy and the markets. Enjoy the material!
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On our Swiss annuities from Forces Vives, we got another letter from them
worded a bit oddly so I got clarification for you if you hold a Annuity from
Forces Vives. If you hold an annuity from PAX or another company there are
no changes. As for Force Vives, there is not much to report but here is the
latest which really does not affect my annuity decisions. As for you, if
anything here makes you nervous, and if your tax situation permits it, you
can always consider cashing it in.
"Forces Vives has decided to stop new business as it is not profitable for
them anymore. The main reasons are that (1) they cannot make profits by
guaranteeing a fixed rate of return while in the market they can barely make
it considering the low interest rate environment. This would endanger the
reserves in the program, and (2) the increased cost related to regulation
especially in regards to US investors.
For that reason they are not taking any new investments and are open to sell
the business if they were to find a buyer. Nevertheless, as the letter also
explains, they are committed to keep and administer the policies that stay
at Forces Vives and they will continue honoring the guaranteed rate of
return as contractually agreed. They will however not pay profit sharing
which by the way they have not paid on the major currencies for the past
three years and as reflected in the statements that have been sent to
clients. Again, this has been linked to the low interest rate environment.
Policyholders that are content with the program may keep their policies in
place".
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On to the markets:
The correction ended as predicted in my last few newsletters. I stated we
would probably not see a major decline and up was the overall direction and
so it comes to pass. That is not to say we have no risk of a correction of
magnitude of course. These bubble markets will fall hard one day but that
day is most likely still far away as the Federal Reserve will come to our
rescue if markets fall hard. (The "Bernanke Put" is now the Yellen
Backstop).
Always watching out for you, I still think only the biggest and baddest
dividend payers are worth buying as I have said for over 2 years now and
they have performed nicely. The only changes I have made to our holdings
lately is to dump RCS.
Natural Gas is finally rising but we took a bath on this being 3 years early
on its rise. I recommend playing this only thru big oil like Exxon or some
Canadian Oil Trusts like what is on our Super Dividend Payers List.
The budget ceiling issue is strangely silent although we approach that
deadline in just a few days. Its odd there is no talk about what is going on
in the media concerning what was such drama so many times before.
The Federal Reserve is tapering to the tune of 20 billion. This means
instead of 85 billion a month in new money they will only print up 65
billion a month. This reduction is meaningless as you can see. They are
still printing a hell of a lot of money. The markets reacted to the news but
the ECONOMY will react to the taper months from now.
Once it does, I have forecast and continue to forecast the Feds will stop
tapering and may even increase the QE again. You just wait and you will see
an about face from the Fed once the economy slows even more. The taper
itself has yet to hit the real markets however. It will be a delayer
reaction.
Just out from Washington, the lowest inflation since 1955.
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Who are they kidding? Everything I buy is skyrocketing in price and
companies are down sizing packages and charging the same amount. They are
GOOD at disguising this downsizing as you may have noticed. Meat is
especially expensive and I noticed a $10 or $12 burger or breakfast at your
local restaurant is becoming common place. How fast we forget what we spent
just a few short years ago.
The sad part is the low income earners/ poor are the ones who suffer the
most as they are not able to make up the few dollars it takes to buy their
food and necessities. This is always the case in inflationary economies. The
poor suffer the worst. Also affected is class mobility as classes move
downward. Inflation benefits only the wealthy. The wealthier you are the
more you benefit. You could say inflation HURTS the poor yet enriches the
rich. Opposite effects from the same policy and don't be confused. Inflation
is POLICY. The Federal Reserve has stated such. They believe falling prices
is bad. (Deflation). They believe deflation makes people hold off on
purchases waiting for lower prices so the economy grinds to a halt.
How ludicrous is that? Firstly, economic theory says as prices drop people
buy MORE. That's why stores put things on sale!
Consider also if lower prices causes people to buy less (which is obviously
FALSE) why then, when computer prices were falling during the onset of the
PC did people buy MORE computers?
Why did people buy more CALCULATORS when prices continually fell in the
80's?
Why as the price of cell phones dropped in the 2000's did people buy more
cell phones?
Their logic fails in the face of reality AND basic logic. Drop the price of
something and people will BUY MORE not LESS.
It's this kind of wrong headed thinking that drives our monetary policy.
It's no wonder we have reoccurring imploding bubbles, a stagnant economy and
people getting poorer and poorer!
Add in increased government spending, increasing deficits and squandering
billions and higher incentives to NOT work (social safety nets, paid
healthcare, removing the stigma from government assistance, minimum wages
etc) and you can see why it is that more and more people are on public
assistance and why our country is bleeding red ink from all orifices.
I wish I could say things will get better but the policies they are
undertaking are the exact opposite of what they should be doing.
If you still don't believe me, you will have to wait once again to have them
proven wrong by the results. I guarantee with these policies the issues we
face will NOT be solved and actually made worse. It reminds me of a show I
did stating the moves that the Federal Reserve makes are the exact OPPOSITE
of what should be done. This holds true to this day and holds true of almost
every central bank on the globe. How we got to this point is baffling.
For now, follow the plan, keep tuned in and expect the following as stated
in previous editions of Money Matters Update.
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Gold and silver may make a new low in the $900 or $1,000.00 (gold) and
$15.00 (Silver) range before blasting off once again.
War may break out in the Middle East driving oil into the stratosphere.
Drought may make certain stocks take off so keep tuned as to which ones to
buy.
Social media and 3 D stocks may have their final blow off before crashing.
Government deficits will go ballistic and exceed Washington's predictions
only to meet Money Matter predictions reaching 20 trillion in a few short
years or less.
More intrusive government and higher taxes.
More wranglings around Obamacare.
Stock markets get volatile as Feds try and taper only to back off as markets
start hard down.
Eventual new market highs as money printing continues into overdrive.
The rich will get even richer (only the 1 %) while the middle class and
upper middle class will be bled like pigs. The ranks of the poor will swell
ever larger as higher food and energy prices drive more and more people to
government assistance.
Small businesses buckle under higher and higher costs.
New jobs will only center around service, medical and part time work. Full
time workers will continue to decrease.
Propaganda stating how things are getting better will not translate to your
street or town.
More of the same from governments, local and otherwise on creating jobs, the
biggest myth since Santa Claus.
Interest rates will stay low for a while longer only to eventually rise
crushing housing and bonds.
More economic news that will wow and amaze you, but mostly make you shake
your head in disbelief and disgust.
Get ready America, you heard it here first.
Marc
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